Data Glossary
How True Cost models your numbers — assumptions, formulas, and definitions, organized by section.
Home Price
The total purchase price of the home, used as the basis for calculating loan amount, property taxes, insurance estimates, and appreciation projections.
Down Payment
The amount paid upfront toward the home purchase. Reduces the loan amount dollar-for-dollar. Expressed as a dollar amount or percentage of home price.
Note: Down payments below 20% of the home price typically require PMI.
Loan Amount
The portion of the home price financed through the mortgage after subtracting the down payment.
Loan Amount = Home Price − Down Payment
Example: For a $500,000 home with a $100,000 (20%) down payment: Loan Amount = $500,000 − $100,000 = $400,000.
Interest Rate
The annual interest rate on the mortgage, entered as a percentage. Used in the standard amortization formula to calculate monthly principal and interest.
Loan Term
The number of years over which the loan is repaid.
Default: 30 years
Monthly Principal & Interest (P&I)
The fixed monthly mortgage payment covering principal repayment and interest charges. Does not include taxes, insurance, or HOA.
M = P × [r(1+r)^n] / [(1+r)^n − 1] where: P = loan amount r = monthly interest rate (annual rate ÷ 12) n = total number of payments (loan term in years × 12)
Example: For a $400,000 loan at 6.5% for 30 years: r = 0.065 ÷ 12 ≈ 0.00542, n = 360. M ≈ $2,528/month.
Property Tax
Annual property tax expressed as a percentage of home value, divided by 12 for the monthly cost. True Cost auto-populates this from county-level Census data when a ZIP code is entered.
Assumption: Rate held constant over the projection period. Tax liability is adjusted each year according to the home appreciation rate on the buy vs rent tab. If your state has an assessment or liability cap on property tax increases, the calculator will not increase your annual property tax estimate by more than the cap allows.
Example: A 1.2% effective rate on a $400,000 home: $4,800/year, or $400/month.
Homeowner's Insurance
Monthly premium for homeowner's insurance.
Assumption: When a state is known, True Cost estimates this using state-level average premium data interpolated by home value. The estimate assumes dwelling coverage = 75% of home value. Users can override this value at any time.
HOA Fees
Monthly homeowners association fees, if applicable. These are treated as a fixed recurring cost and optionally inflated annually at the HOA inflation rate.
Default: $0
PMI (Private Mortgage Insurance)
Required when the down payment is less than 20% of the home price. Protects the lender in case of default.
Assumption: PMI is removed automatically in the model once the loan-to-value ratio reaches 80% (equity = 20%).
Default: 0.5% of loan amount annually (÷ 12 for monthly cost)
Example: On a $400,000 loan: 0.005 × $400,000 ÷ 12 ≈ $167/month.
HOA & Insurance Inflation Rate
Annual rate at which HOA fees and insurance premiums are assumed to increase over time.
Default: 3%
Loan-to-Value Ratio (LTV)
The percentage of the home's value that is financed. LTV above 80% triggers PMI.
LTV = Loan Amount / Home Price × 100
Example: $360,000 loan on a $450,000 home: LTV = 360,000 ÷ 450,000 × 100 = 80%. PMI not required at exactly 80%.
PITI (Principal, Interest, Taxes, Insurance)
The total monthly housing payment including all four components: principal, interest, property taxes, and homeowner's insurance. The standard measure of monthly housing cost used in affordability assessments.
DTI Ratio (Debt-to-Income)
The percentage of gross monthly income consumed by housing costs. Lenders typically require front-end DTI below 28% and total DTI (including all debts) below 36–43%.
Front-end DTI = Monthly PITI ÷ Gross Monthly Income × 100
- • ≤ 28% — Within recommended limits
- • 28–36% — This may be a stretch
- • > 36% — Above recommended limits
Example: Monthly PITI of $2,800 on a $10,000/month gross income: DTI = 28%.
Maintenance Cost
Estimated annual cost of routine upkeep, repairs, and replacements. Can be entered as a percentage of home value or a fixed annual dollar amount.
Assumption: A widely cited rule of thumb. Actual costs vary significantly by age and condition of the home. Future maintenance cost estimates are increased annually according to the inflation rate entered in tab 1.
Default: 1% of home value per year
Example: On a $400,000 home: 1% = $4,000/year, or ~$333/month.
Home Appreciation Rate
The assumed annual rate at which the home's market value increases over time. Used in equity projections and buy vs rent comparisons. We provide an estimated historical rate of home price appreciation for your zip code. Past appreciation rates may not always be useful in predicting future returns.
Assumption: Historical U.S. average appreciation has been approximately 3–4% annually, though this varies significantly by market and time period.
Default: 3%
Monthly Rent
Current monthly rent payment used as the baseline rental cost in the buy vs rent comparison.
Rent Growth Rate
The assumed annual rate at which rent increases over the projection period.
Default: 3%
Renter's Insurance
Monthly cost of renter's insurance, included in the total cost-to-rent calculation.
Default: $15/month
Investment Return Rate
The assumed annual return on the down payment if it were invested in the market rather than used to purchase a home. This represents the opportunity cost of homeownership.
Assumption: Approximates long-run average real equity market returns based on historical S&P 500 performance.
Default: 7%
Opportunity Cost of Down Payment
The foregone investment growth on the down payment amount. Used in the buy vs rent net worth comparison to fairly account for the alternative use of capital.
FV = Down Payment × (1 + r)^n where: r = annual investment return rate n = years
Example: $100,000 down payment invested at 7% for 10 years: FV = $100,000 × (1.07)^10 ≈ $196,715.
Net Worth Impact (Buy vs Rent)
The difference in net worth between buying and renting at a given point in time. Accounts for equity accumulated, opportunity cost of the down payment, total payments made, maintenance costs, tax benefits (if enabled), and closing costs.
Note: Positive value = buying results in higher net worth. Negative value = renting and investing results in higher net worth.
Break-even Year (Buy vs Rent)
The year at which buying a home produces a higher cumulative net worth than renting and investing. Before this point, renting is financially superior; after it, buying is.
Closing Costs
One-time transaction costs paid at purchase, including origination fees, title insurance, escrow, and recording fees. These are factored into the buy vs rent comparison as an upfront cost of buying.
Default: 3% of home price
Example: On a $400,000 home: 3% = $12,000 in estimated closing costs.
Gross Income
Annual pre-tax household income. Used to determine the applicable federal and state marginal tax brackets and to calculate the value of itemized deductions.
Filing Status
Federal (and state) tax filing category. Affects standard deduction amounts and tax bracket thresholds.
Standard Deduction
The fixed deduction amount set by the IRS that taxpayers may claim instead of itemizing. If the standard deduction exceeds itemized deductions, itemizing provides no tax benefit.
Assumption: 2025 values: Single $15,000 | Married Filing Jointly $30,000 | Head of Household $22,500 | Married Filing Separately $15,000.
Mortgage Interest Deduction
Federal (and in some states, state) tax deduction for mortgage interest paid. Only beneficial when total itemized deductions exceed the standard deduction.
Annual Tax Savings = Annual Interest Paid × Marginal Federal Tax Rate (Annual interest paid is derived from the amortization schedule.)
Note: The deduction phases out as the loan pays down and interest comprises a smaller share of each payment.
Example: $18,000 in annual mortgage interest × 22% marginal rate = $3,960 in annual federal tax savings.
SALT Deduction (State and Local Taxes)
Federal deduction for state income taxes and property taxes paid.
Assumption: Capped at $10,000 per year under current tax law (Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, extended through 2025).
Effective Tax Benefit
The net annual reduction in federal (and state) income tax resulting from mortgage interest and SALT deductions, only in years where itemizing exceeds the standard deduction. Expressed in annual dollar savings.
Marginal Tax Rate
The tax rate applied to the last dollar of income earned. This is the rate used to calculate the value of deductions — a higher bracket means each deductible dollar is worth more.
Example: A $1,000 deduction saves $220 for someone in the 22% marginal tax bracket, but $320 for someone in the 32% bracket.
Mortgage Points
Upfront fees paid to the lender at closing in exchange for a lower interest rate. One point equals 1% of the loan amount.
Example: 1 point on a $400,000 loan = $4,000 upfront cost to the borrower.
Rate Reduction per Point
The interest rate reduction achieved by purchasing one mortgage point. This varies by lender and market conditions.
Assumption: Industry rule of thumb. Verify the actual reduction with your lender before closing.
Default: 0.25% per point
Break-even (Points)
The number of months required for the monthly interest savings from buying points to offset the upfront cost of the points.
Break-even Months = Points Cost ÷ Monthly Savings
Example: $4,000 in points with $80/month in interest savings: Break-even = 4,000 ÷ 80 = 50 months (~4.2 years).
Opportunity-Cost-Adjusted Break-even
A more conservative break-even calculation that accounts for the investment return that could have been earned on the points cost if invested instead of paid upfront.
Assumption: Typically results in a break-even 12–36 months longer than the simple break-even, depending on the assumed investment return rate.
Planned Holding Period
How long the user expects to own the home on the current mortgage. Used to determine whether buying points is financially worthwhile — if the break-even exceeds the holding period, points are not recommended.
Default: 7 years
Remaining Balance
The current outstanding principal on the existing mortgage. Can be entered directly or auto-calculated from the original loan details and number of months paid.
Break-even (Refinancing)
The number of months required for monthly payment savings to offset the closing costs of refinancing.
Break-even Months = Total Closing Costs ÷ Monthly Payment Savings
Note: When refinancing to a shorter term results in a higher payment, break-even is instead calculated on total interest saved over the remaining life of the loan.
Example: $6,000 in closing costs with $200/month in payment savings: Break-even = 6,000 ÷ 200 = 30 months (2.5 years).
Cash-Out Refinance
An optional amount of home equity withdrawn at refinance by increasing the new loan balance above the remaining principal. Increases the new loan amount and monthly payment.
Rolling Closing Costs into the Loan
Instead of paying refinance closing costs upfront, the costs are added to the new loan balance. This reduces the upfront cash needed but increases the loan amount, monthly payment, and total interest paid over the life of the loan.
Total Interest Saved (Refinancing)
The difference between the total remaining interest on the current loan and the total interest that would be paid on the new loan (excluding closing costs). A positive number indicates the refinance saves money over the life of the loan.
Amortization
The process of paying off a loan through regular scheduled payments. Early payments are predominantly interest; over time, a greater share goes toward principal as the balance declines.
Equity
The portion of the home's value owned outright by the homeowner. Grows over time through principal paydown and home price appreciation.
Equity = Current Home Value − Remaining Loan Balance
Example: Home worth $450,000 with a $320,000 remaining balance: Equity = $130,000.
Effective Monthly Cost
The true monthly cost of homeownership after accounting for equity buildup and tax benefits. A more apples-to-apples comparison against a monthly rent payment.
Effective Monthly Cost = PITI + Maintenance − Monthly Equity Gain − Monthly Tax Benefit
Fixed-Rate Mortgage
A mortgage with an interest rate that remains constant for the entire loan term. Monthly P&I payments never change, providing payment certainty over the life of the loan.
Adjustable-Rate Mortgage (ARM)
A mortgage with an interest rate that is fixed for an initial period (e.g., 5 years for a 5/1 ARM), then adjusts annually based on a market index, subject to periodic and lifetime rate caps.
LTV (Loan-to-Value Ratio)
A key metric used by lenders to assess risk. LTV above 80% typically requires PMI. Refinancing below 80% LTV can eliminate PMI.
LTV = Remaining Balance ÷ Current Home Value × 100
Example: $280,000 remaining balance on a home worth $400,000: LTV = 70%. PMI not required.
Data Sources
True Cost uses primary government and research sources for all data. Below are the sources behind the calculator's defaults and assumptions.
Property Tax Data
Sources used to derive effective property tax rates at the state, county, and ZIP code level.
- U.S. Census Bureau — American Community Survey (ACS)
Used for: County-level effective property tax rates, derived from median real estate taxes paid vs. median home values across all US counties.
Update frequency: Annual (5-year estimates)
- Lincoln Institute of Land Policy
Used for: Property tax rate validation, state caps on assessment growth, and state-level effective rate benchmarking. The Lincoln Institute publishes the widely-cited "50-State Property Tax Comparison Study."
Update frequency: Annual
- Tax Foundation
Used for: State property tax rate rankings and comparative analysis. Cross-reference for county-level effective rates.
Update frequency: Annual
Mortgage Rates
- Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) — Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey
Used for: 30-year fixed mortgage rate defaults and historical rate context. The PMMS is the most widely cited weekly mortgage rate benchmark in the US.
Update frequency: Weekly (every Thursday)
Rental Data
Sources aggregated to derive county and ZIP code level median monthly rents.
- HUD Fair Market Rents (FMR)
Used for: County-level rent benchmarks. HUD publishes annual Fair Market Rents for all US counties and metro areas, used to set housing assistance payment standards.
Update frequency: Annual
- Zillow Research — Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI)
Used for: Metro and ZIP code level rent trends. ZORI tracks asking rents for market-rate rentals.
Update frequency: Monthly
- U.S. Census Bureau — American Community Survey (ACS)
Used for: Median gross rent by county and ZIP code tabulation area (ZCTA). Provides broad coverage including smaller markets not in ZORI.
Update frequency: Annual (5-year estimates)
Income Data
- U.S. Census Bureau — American Community Survey (ACS)
Used for: Median household income at the county level, used as default income assumptions in scenario content and as benchmark context for affordability analysis.
Update frequency: Annual (5-year estimates)
State Income Tax Rates
- Tax Foundation — State Individual Income Tax Rates
Used for: State marginal and effective income tax rate brackets for all 50 states and DC, used in the tax benefit calculation.
Update frequency: Annual (updated each tax year)
- State government revenue/taxation department websites
Used for: Verification of bracket data and state-specific rules (standard deductions, exemptions, filing status differences). Consulted state-by-state for accuracy.
Home Price Appreciation
Sources aggregated to derive home price appreciation rates at the county and ZIP code level.
- Zillow Research — Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI)
Used for: County and ZIP code level home value trends and appreciation rates. ZHVI tracks the typical home value within the 35th to 65th percentile range.
Update frequency: Monthly
- Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) — House Price Index (HPI)
Used for: ZIP code and county-level home price appreciation rates. The FHFA HPI is based on repeat-sales transactions on single-family properties with conforming mortgages, providing broad geographic coverage.
Update frequency: Quarterly